Euro 2008 kicked off yesterday with a bit of an under whelming start. There is no promise that either of todays games will be any more exciting either but there should be a couple of good betting opportunities amongst the games. The first game to kick off is hosts Austria versus Croatia. I simply cannot believe that Croatia are as large as 1.90 on Betfair to win this game. Austria may have home advantage but with a team as poor as theirs(they are world ranked 92 to Croatias 15th) that will count for little and I see no other result than a Croatia win given the quality they have. Possibly by a 2 goal margin. For me the Croatia win is a maximum points bet.
The second game I don't really have such a strong fancy. I expect Germany to win but at 1.52 I don't see this as a good bet. What would tempt me more would be the HT/FT of Draw/Germany trading at 4.6. I expect a tight opening to the game but expect class will out in the second half and Germany will score a goal or two.
The French Open also takes place this afternoon where Rafael Nadal is a strong favourite to win and is hard to oppose having been in stunning form. Federers whole year has been geared around this one match and his chance to achieve legend status. I reallly want Federer to do it but even at odds of 4.0 it is hard to fancy him given his clay record against Nadal is 1/9. He has had opportunities win probably 4 of the 9 matches but seems to inexplicably lose form when he has a chance to close out a set against Nadal. For the in running traders there should be a few quid to be made as I expect a few ups and downs so I will be hoping to take some decisions during the match.
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8 comments:
Haha, if I'd known you were going to post, I'd have got mine in earlier. I didn't mean to steal the thunder of your first post by going in over the top! Sorry :D
Nice first post Will, I'm with you on Croatia - for me it is one of the best bets of the whole tournament.
Yes depending on results today I'm going in large. As you say it looks the bet of the tournament. Very late fancy but in ten minutes Unwritten Rule runs at Roscommon. This one beat the Derby 5th Washington Irving on season olta the 6th behind him in another Derby trial. This one is far better than the rest of these . It is a handicap but he looks well treated. Scoop some of the 2/1 about.
Or don't ;)
Indeed don't scoop the 2/1!Tempted to delete the comment!Not long till Ryeford is up-I'm on Wild Tonto for a place in that race.
I notice the price on that has been slashed. Pretty sure I saw it at 12 at one point, 6.6 just now.
That said, my own 2.51 has been reduced to 2.21 thanks to Golden Feather withdrawing.
Gah, how many times was Lord Ryeford denied a run?! Not sure I can use it as an excuse though cause when he eventually drew dead level, Gallant Hero kicked on to win by what, half a length?
I don't have pics but I hear that the ride was abysmal. My selection just got 3rd in a photo so I was lucky.
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