Tuesday, 10 June 2008

Update from Will

I plan on writing my proper intro soon but in the meantime I 'll give a rundown of my activity over the last few days and bets for tommorow.

I deposited some cash in betfair on Sunday and am showing a nice profit so far but there have been ups and downs. The Ups include wins for Spain and Croatia in Euro 2008, the downs being losing Draw bets on the Holland and Sweden games and a short head defeat for Missioner last night. Still we are in profit and I hope to keep it that way with some interesting runners tommorow.

First up we go to Nottingham for the 1m6f handicap at 2.40 where Spring Dream will take the world of beating for Alan King. This mare has been in fine form this summer with a win sandwiched between two runner up spots. She steps up in trip which can only suit. She still looks decently handicapped off 71 and although trading at short odds of 2.54 currently this looks a perfectly backable price and I expect her to go off in the Evens-11/10 price range

We stay at Nottingham for the next bet where I expect Reclamation to take the 16.40 fillies handicap (you all know how much I like my fillies) This filly left all previous form behind to take a Wolverhampton handicap 30 days ago. She stayed on well that day and will appreciate the step up in trip being related to an Irish oaks winner and Record Breaker who landed the cash for us on Saturday. She has various entries later in the week which as anyone who follows trainer Sir Mark Prescott knows is of major significance as he often wins 2 or 3 races in a week with this type of horse. The predicted 5/2 could look big come the end of the race.

For my final selection we move across to the Gerry Weber Open in Halle where I expect Nicolas Kiefer to upset Mikhail Youzhny. Kiefer has reached the final here in the past and is at his best on grass. Whilst Youzhny has a 3-1 head to head record, Kiefer took their last meeting on hardcourts last summer and I expect a similar result tommorow. Youzhny was impressive in beating Tursonov but he is an up and down character (search for him on youtube and see him smash a racket on his head) and Kiefer is the type of player to exploit that fragility. Available to lay at 1.74 I will be doing so.


14.40 Nottingham - Spring Dream
16.40 Nottingham - Reclamation
Gerry Weber Open Halle - Lay Youznhy at 1.74


moDtheGod said...

Spring Dream has been named the RP's Nottingham nap. Does seem a good thing.

Excellent work, can see I'm going to enjoy reading your nag related stuff.

moDtheGod said...

Spring Dream was 2nd, I was on that too. The other one has just withdrawn. Oh well!