Monday, 23 June 2008
Wimbledon 2008
Wimbledon 2008
And so Wimbledon is upon us again. As you all know I'm a big tennis fan and have even been down to the tournament on 2 occasions. I'm hoping over the next fortnight I can find a few winners for you all on the mens singles matches. I will try and post my bet of the day each night and mention other bets that may be worth looking out for. I have chosen to ignore the outright market as I generally don't like tying up funds for a 2 week period. While I feel Federer is great value at his current odds of 2.22 I feel there will be better opportunities to back winners at this price on a daily basis.
Tennis betting is not for everyone with both odds short and the required outlay therefore larger. However there are only 2 possible outcomes of a tennis match therefore less factors outside our control. I am a believer that a bet at any price can be value. That can mean a 1.20 shot in a tennis match being good value. Unless something really stands out at those odds though I try and steer away as I don't have the capital to make the win worthwhile. I generally prefer to find opportunities in the 1.50 and above bracket. For example today I plumped for Simone Bollelli against Alex Bogdanovic at odds of 1.74 and he duly obliged against the toothless Bogdanovic.
In tomorrows matches I have only stumbled upon one match where I see value, that of Kiefer versus Benneteau At odds of 1.52 Kiefer may not appeal to you all but I expected the odds to be closer to 1.25 so its cracking value in my book. He has superb grass court form and was a semi finalist in Halle the Wimbledon warm up tournament. He has been a bit mentally fragile at times but now in his 30s he has calmed down a little and is a trustier betting proposition than in previous years. His grass court form speaks for itself with a career record of 40 wins against 25 losses. Compare this to Benneteau's 8 wins to 13 losses and you can see why this looks such good value.
Advised
3pts Kiefer to beat Benneteau - 1.52 (Betfair)
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2 comments:
Easiest money you've ever made.
It was easy money. Was sitting watching the IBM live scoreboard in my work thinking if picking winners was always as easy as that then I wouldn't have to work!
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